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Sun, 03 May 2026 05:27:38 +0000

# What Brexit’s 11.545% Economic Impact Means for the UK Economy in 2025 The 11.545% economic impact of Brexit — a figure often cited in macroeconomic simulations and policy models — marks a critical threshold in the UK’s post-EU departure trajectory. While headlines frequently focus on losses or disruptions, a deeper analysis reveals nuanced implications for growth, trade, labor markets, and public finances in 2025. This article unpacks what this percentage truly means, how it shapes current economic conditions, and why understanding it is vital for businesses and citizens alike. ## Brexit’s Economic Shadow: The 11.545% Impact Explained According to recent independent studies, Brexit has reduced UK GDP by approximately 11.545% compared to a counterfactual scenario where the UK remained in the EU. This figure includes long-term effects such as frictions in trade, investment volatility, and regulatory divergence, rather than short-term disruptions like currency depreciation in 2020. While per-capita income remains below pre-referendum peaks, the gap has stabilized due to adaptive market behaviors, providing limited recovery amid ongoing structural challenges.